The NFL’s desire to keep to its schedule required the Ravens to play, regardless of having 21 players on the Covid-reserve list, consisting of 12 beginners and key rotational players. The decision ensured we would not get a repeat of the astoundingly close matchup between the groups in Week 7, which saw the Ravens push the unbeaten Steelers to the limitation, before eventually losing 28-24
All things thought about, there’s a likelihood Baltimore would have won on Wednesday if healthy. Regardless of lacking Lamar Jackson, crucial protective gamers, and starting running back Mark Ingram, the Ravens just lost by five indicate the very best team in the NFL. Knowing that close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades, the Ravens now sit at 3rd in the AFC North with a 6-5 record. They’re still quite in the hunt, sitting securely in the playoff bubble, and a favorable record down the stretch could make the difference.
What games do the Ravens have remaining?
Certainly the most convenient remaining schedule in the NFL, the Ravens have at least 4 of their final 5 video games which must be wins– presuming the team doesn’t have additional injuries due to Covid. It looks like Lamar Jackson will miss this week’s video game, however ought to be offered next, presuming there aren’t any more obstacles. In addition, we don’t presently understand the severity of Robert Griffin III’s hamstring injury, adding more unknowns to the situation. That stated, we’ll work under the assumption that everything from this point on is a best case scenario for the group.
If the Ravens have to carry as many injuries into this one as they did vs. Pittsburgh there’s an outside opportunity Dallas might win, however considering how close they played the Steelers– this need to be a win.
Record: 7-5
The Browns are playing incredibly gutsy football, and while it’s not always quite, it’s proven to be effective. If both teams were at complete strength this would be a hell of a video game, but at best Baltimore will still be recuperating from Covid and getting back to fill strength.
Record: 7-6
At this point we can (ideally) anticipate the Ravens to be back to full strength, making this game academic.
Record: 8-6
In the penultimate week of the season the schedule remains beneficial, this time playing host to the New York City Giants Now, the Giants have actually been on an improbable tear, but that should come to an end versus the Ravens. Both groups will have a great deal of play for, attempting to press into the playoffs– however at the end of the day the Ravens are simply too gifted.
Record: 9-6
As unfortunate as the entire Covid scenario for the Ravens was, it was made up for in the schedule. The last week of the season comes against the Bengals, who looked excellent this season up until Joe Burrow was hurt. Now this must be another simple win for the Ravens, finishing out their season strong.
Record 10 -6
Will a 10 -6 record be excellent enough for the playoffs?
There are 2 factors at play this season. Firstly it’s that there’s a broad variation in between the excellent groups, and bad in the NFL this year– leading to outstanding records amongst the top teams, and second of all that this is a strange seven-team-in system this year.
As it stands there are four teams to enjoy when it concerns Baltimore’s playoff chances.
- Browns (8-3)
- Dolphins(7-4)
- Colts (7-4)
- Raiders (6-5)
Based upon the remaining schedules, here’s my forecasts for how these groups will end up:
Browns (11 -5)
Colts (11 -5)
Dolphins (10 -6)
Raiders (9-7)
In this scenario the Browns and Colts would remain in, the Raiders out– and the battle for the essential last location coming down to a tiebreaker between the Ravens and Dolphins. Because the groups did not play each other in 2020, we relocate to the 2nd tiebreaker, which is best divisional record. Both teams are presently 2-2, with 2 games left to play. The Ravens still face the Browns and Bengals, which I have split at 1-1. The Dolphins still have the Costs and Patriots— which I likewise split at 1-1.
Now we move to the third tiebreaker, win/loss in common games. The Dolphins beat the Jaguars, and I have the Ravens forecasted to win. Miami lost to the Patriots, and I have them winning the second video game. While Baltimore played New England when, and lost. The Ravens lost to the Chiefs, and I have the Dolphins losing to them too. Baltimore beat the Bengals, and I think will beat them again– while Miami will play Cincinnati this weekend, which I have them winning.
Considering these projections the Dolphins would be in the playoffs with a 7-5 conference record, while the Ravens would be out with a 6-6 conference record.
If you’re keeping score that suggests that when this all shakes out, the Pittsburgh video game on Wednesday was a substantial difference maker. Not just did it stop the Ravens from possibly accomplishing an 11 -5 record and getting in, however likewise in theory connecting the 7-5 conference record (if other video games move a little) and moving us to the fifth tiebreaker, strength of victory, which would have gotten Baltimore in.
Sure, this is a great deal of projection and uncertainty– however it’s entirely possible that the distinction maker in Baltimore’s playoff possibilities was this single, Covid-ravaged game, made all the difference. That would be the height of unfairness.
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